Posted 22 January 2012 - 06:52 AM
I don't believe that the producers truly intend for Craig to make seven or eight films. They may express the wish, but they aren't committing themselves to anything. It's a way of showing confidence in their star, and not to be taken literally.
Of course it's impossible to know how many films Craig will make, because it will ultimately hang on the mercy of the money gods. But as for how many years Craig will remain in the role, it's a little easier to speculate, since the speculation doesn't have to account for occult financial and industrial matters, but only take note of Craig's physical state, how well he's aging, his relationship with the producers, and his personality.
I certainly don't see him tiring of the role quickly, as Connery did, because he is a professional and not volatile; nor can I easily imagine the producers forcing him out before his time, because they were the ones who championed his cause, whereas they inherited Brosnan from Cubby; on the other hand, I don't see Craig pulling a Moore and staying in the role after he has begun to decline physically, because his approach to the role is so essentially athletic. My prediction is that he won't leave the role before his fiftieth birthday, but he won't make more than one film after his fiftieth birthday. It sounds strange, but I'm firmly convinced of that. By the time he's fifty-two, he'll have left the role. It will be 2020 - a big round number, a shifting of the zeitgeist, and a general election year on both sides of the Atlantic. People will be turning the page in everything, and Craig will share their sentiment.
If Craig proves me right and leaves the role around 2020, what will that mean for Fassbender? He will be 43 by then - older than Craig was in 2005, but still younger than Moore was in 1973. By no means too old to be considered. The real problem is that he might be too big a name by then. I won't be too diappointed if he's passed over. (I can hardly call myself a Fassbender backer, having never seen him act or heard his voice!) Some people will be terribly disappointed no matter what happens. I was in the Clive Owen camp before Craig was announced, and I shivered from that blow for about five minutes. I trusted the producers, and still do. I'm sure they'll choose well.