548 replies to this topic

[YOLT]

So my expectations:

UK: 110M$ ( Under 85 will be a disaster, 90+ is OK )
USA: 205M$ ( Under 170 will be a disaster, 185+ is OK )
WW:757M$ ( Under 650 will be a disaster, 700+ is OK )

Just to compare QOS had 586$ WW, and CR 594$ WW.

If Skyfall does under 600M$ WW, I will stop writing on commanderbond.net

[x007AceOfSpades]

Are we talking about totals for UK and USA or just Opening Weekend?

[YOLT]

Are we talking about totals for UK and USA or just Opening Weekend?

Totals, for opening my expectations:
UK: 27M$
USA: 50M$

[JCRendle]

Have any advanced booking figures been released?

[QOS4EVER]

How much is the budget for this film ?

PS:I am expecting 650M$

[JCRendle]

Wikipedia says budget is $150m, IMDb says $200m. A Guardian article mentions $150m too.

[Mr Teddy Bear]

I'm having trouble grasping your categories. A 5 million gap in UK figures is the difference between disaster and OK?

650 million total is also a disaster, meanwhile it is a significant bump up from the most recent entries.

[x007AceOfSpades]

Okay, well being that the last two have opened up with $25M and 'Skyfall' being very anticipated, $30M-35M opening weekend for the UK.

'Casino Royale' opened with $40M and 'Quantum Of Solace' with $67M, Skyfall opens domestically with $70M.

Total for Foreign box office: $450M - $500M. Total for Domestic: $210M

Worldwide Total: $650M - $690M

That's just based on the statistics of the last two.

[QOS4EVER]

Wikipedia says budget is $150m, IMDb says $200m. A Guardian article mentions $150m too.

I remmember reading on box office mojo that it was 130M$
A bit annoyed when Babs was asked the question of budget during the Skyfall conference She said it was on the same range with QOS.When it is actualy on par with Casino Royale or bellow

[x007AceOfSpades]

I think it's a toss up. I believe QOS's budget was higher due to the more on-location filming rather than filming most on a backlot. Casino Royale was filmed on a backlot and in Prague's film studio and of course On-location filming.

I think Skyfall's is at $150M.

[Shrublands]

Wikipedia says budget is $150m, IMDb says $200m. A Guardian article mentions $150m too.

I remmember reading on box office mojo that it was 130M$
A bit annoyed when Babs was asked the question of budget during the Skyfall conference She said it was on the same range with QOS.When it is actualy on par with Casino Royale or bellow

Wouldn't she be more likely to know the truth than Wikipedia contributors and hacks working at the Guardian?
Deadline also said the Skyfall budget was over $200m - they've been very good with the inside info on Skyfall and industry info in general.

[JCRendle]

Box Office Mojo is currently showing the runtime and budget as N/A.

[SecretAgentFan]

So my expectations:

UK: 110M$ ( Under 85 will be a disaster, 90+ is OK )
USA: 205M$ ( Under 170 will be a disaster, 185+ is OK )
WW:757M$ ( Under 650 will be a disaster, 700+ is OK )

Just to compare QOS had 586$ WW, and CR 594$ WW.

If Skyfall does under 600M$ WW, I will stop writing on commanderbond.net

It can only be a disaster if it does not break even.

Sure, they will want it to be bigger than the ones before. And I am very optimistic that SKYFALL indeed will be the biggest Bond yet.

But even if it does not make much more than QOS or CR, I don´t think that would be a real problem.

[YOLT]

I'm having trouble grasping your categories. A 5 million gap in UK figures is the difference between disaster and OK?

650 million total is also a disaster, meanwhile it is a significant bump up from the most recent entries.

ok I can fix it like that: 0-85 disaster, 95-110 OK, 110+ great...

[Redneck007]

It should be the highest grossing Bond to date. QOS made more the CR so I expect SKYFALL to surpass that.

[Hockey Mask]

Skyfall have been getting mega-promoted for a looooong time. The Olympics seems like ages ago. The reviews have been steller.

US Opening - $85 million
US Total - $250 million

[FOX MULDER]

It should be the highest grossing Bond to date.

That's going to be difficult.

Adjusted for inflation, Goldfinger and Thunderball are WAY beyond any other Bond film. They are at $820 and $848 million respectively.

http://en.wikipedia....ames_Bond_films

[QOS4EVER]

Wikipedia says budget is $150m, IMDb says $200m. A Guardian article mentions $150m too.

I remmember reading on box office mojo that it was 130M$
A bit annoyed when Babs was asked the question of budget during the Skyfall conference She said it was on the same range with QOS.When it is actualy on par with Casino Royale or bellow

Wouldn't she be more likely to know the truth

If you watch the press conference for yourself and see the way she responded to that particular question,you will have a completely different opinion.

[Hockey Mask]

It should be the highest grossing Bond to date.

That's going to be difficult.

Adjusted for inflation, Goldfinger and Thunderball are WAY beyond any other Bond film. They are at $820 and $848 million respectively.

It can still be, and most likely will be, the highest grossing Bond movie...just with fewer admissions.

[jrcjohnny99]

Given the IMAX bump, the opening weekend in the US should be around the $80-$85 and it would be a surprise if it didn't pass $200.
If WoM is as positive as the reviews, it could easily get near the $250 mark.

[Satorious]

I recall at the time that the budget was quoted at $150M, because I remember some talk about it being less than QOS and people getting worried that Mendes was scaling the action back etc. Whether it ended up as $200M - I have no idea.

Anyway, back to predictions - I'll go with:

UK: $28M, USA: $52M - for opening weekends. Hopefully I have significantly "under-catered".

[Simon]

I'll pop a guess up at $650m worldwide.

[graric]

Ideally nothing less than 650 Million world wide, also hopefully it will do more than 52 million in the US on it's opening weekend (thats less than what Ted made and only slightly more than the Bourne Legacy) as a general rule a film makes around half it's money at the US box office in the first weekend, and Skyfall has a fair bit of competition coming in the following weeks, so a final gross of about 110 million in the US would be very disappointing (as the US tends to make up between 1/3 and 50% of the final gross.)

If Quantum of Solace managed 67 Million in 2008 Skyfall should be able to equal this at least, if not top it (taking into account inflation, the promotion of the anniversary and the very strong praise Skyfall is getting balancing out any caution audience might feel after Quantum)

Edited by graric, 25 October 2012 - 09:07 AM.

[Shrublands]

Wikipedia says budget is $150m, IMDb says $200m. A Guardian article mentions $150m too.

I remmember reading on box office mojo that it was 130M$
A bit annoyed when Babs was asked the question of budget during the Skyfall conference She said it was on the same range with QOS.When it is actualy on par with Casino Royale or bellow

Wouldn't she be more likely to know the truth

If you watch the press conference for yourself and see the way she responded to that particular question,you will have a completely different opinion.

I have seen it, a few times actually, and no I don't.
Plus, as I say, Deadline are much more reliable than the sources you quote.

[Satorious]

A bigger budget does not equate to a better film or better box-office returns - so I don't care about that so much. Sometimes scaling things back forces the film-makers to be more creative. And you'll probably find the film is almost like peanuts compared to the amount spent promoting it.

[x007AceOfSpades]

Sometimes scaling things back forces the film-makers to be more creative.

"Hey we have $50M left over from the budget, what should we do?"
"BLOW EVERYTHING UP!, oh and CGI"

[YOLT]

UK £20 million weekend
Its just great Way pass 100m$ just in UK.

[Tony_OO_Black]

I dearly hope this breaks all Bond records, as being predicted - not just because it deserves to, but it might also shut up any Craig naysayers or people bemoaning the series' direction.

[SecretAgentFan]

The Craig naysayers already have been shut up by the box office results of CR and QOS, the highest grossing films yet. Yeah, yeah, not if you count inflation - but if you take that into account you also have to acknowledge massive changes in audience behaviour, distribution and saturation of the market with other action adventures, and how can you measure that really? THUNDERBALL will probably remain the biggest moneymaker of the franchise - but the Craig films have delivered again and again HUGE numbers, better than Brosnan´s already insanely successful films.

All´s well.

[univex]

All´s well.

Ain´t that the truth, my friend. One hopes that money is put to good use in Bond24.