110 replies to this topic

[bondrules]

Easy $500+ MM worldwide

[Loeffelholz]

If QoS equals CR, I think it will be a huge victory for Craig and Eon. CR was the most commerically successful and critically acclaimed Bond film in history...so the bar is very high indeed.

Many of CR/Craig's detractors consoled themselves by hoping/predicting that the followup would tank, since they view QoS as a referendum on Daniel Craig. If it puts up respectable numbers relative to CR---even if it comes up a bit short---this will be a major coup.

[Publius]

Worldwide: $486,239,421.34

I'm surprised you think it'll drop so much. That'd be an over 20% dip from its predecessor, which hasn't been seen since the free-falling days of the 80s.

That said, I realize I myself am predicting on the high end. But if Hancock, with its so-so reception, can gross over $625 million, I don't see why Bond would fall short of that (and Iron Man, and Mammia Mia!, and probably a few other movies yet to be released).

[bondrules]

But if Hancock, with its so-so reception, can gross over $625 million

I don't know how Will Smith is the highest paid actor in Hollywood (well it is obvious, but I don't know why so many ppl like his acting)...I mean, the guy is like too nice, but his movies are not my cup of tea....but he has a record of something like 9 movies in a row drawing 100MM USBO

Edited by bondrules, 27 October 2008 - 05:04 AM.

[sharpshooter]

If it puts up respectable numbers relative to CR---even if it comes up a bit short---this will be a major coup.

Yeah, I agree. It will further cement Craig as Bond, and prove once and for all CR was not a fluke.

[bondrules]

If it puts up respectable numbers relative to CR---even if it comes up a bit short---this will be a major coup.

Yeah, I agree. It will further cement Craig as Bond, and prove once a for all CR was not a fluke.

I agree. There won't be any Sophomore Jinx. QoS will do fine.

[JackWade]

I don't know how Will Smith is the highest paid actor in Hollywood (well it is obvious, but I don't know why so many ppl like his acting)...I mean, the guy is like too nice, but his movies are not my cup of tea....but he has a record of something like 9 movies in a row drawing 100MM USBO

Will Smith has put together a couple genuinely fine performances. THE PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS was fabulous.

[Elvenstar]

I don't know how Will Smith is the highest paid actor in Hollywood (well it is obvious, but I don't know why so many ppl like his acting)...I mean, the guy is like too nice, but his movies are not my cup of tea....but he has a record of something like 9 movies in a row drawing 100MM USBO

Will Smith has put together a couple genuinely fine performances. THE PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS was fabulous.

Such a wonderful film and performance indeed! Also in Ali he was top notch. And this year he teams up with the director of Pursuit and Im very excited to see it.
As 4 Qos BO I now grew more pessimistic and think that in this case the first weekend gross will be significantly higher but there may be some drop and if a lot of people are disappointed they won't return for repeat viewings like it was the case with CR. But yet there is shorter running time so it may help...

[YOLT]

US:150-200m$
World: 500-600m$
Total:650-800m$

If it makes under 500 it means its a disaster. Between 500-700 is ok. 700+ is great

$785,677,477= Live and Let Die.
$720,388,023= You Only Live Twice.

The aim for Craig has to beat these two. If not now, for Bond 23.

Goldfinger and Thunderball are unbeatable I think. $868,659,354 and $966,435,555 repectively

[SecretAgentFan]

Due to the shorter running time (thus more showings) and due to more action it will play even better than CR. I predict a bigger gross.

But even if QOS does not well at the box office I guess EON will stick with Daniel Craig and do it the Moore route - go for the third outing full throttle.

[dinovelvet]

US:150-200m$
World: 500-600m$
Total:650-800m$

If it makes under 500 it means its a disaster. Between 500-700 is ok. 700+ is great

Interestingly, DAD's $431 million gross is adjusted to $494 in 2008 money, so I think that number of around $500 mil is the minimum it has to make to be considered a success. As long as Craig's movies keep out-earning Brosnan's, then EON will keep up the good work

[ElFenomeno]

the people that saw CR will see QoS . or like 80%
plus new fans. and me. i never saw CR in 2006 at the cinema. this will be my first Bond at the cinema.
i expect a 600-700m$

[CM007]

Okay here´s my take on it.

North America 250million

Rest of The World 600million

Total Gross 850million

This film is gonna be hugh it´s exactly what the general Audience expects of Bond film...an Adrenalin fueled film and a Bad Bond and most importantly there´s nothing to see.NO Harry Potter,No big advent movie other than Bond.I think this movie will get mutiple repeat viewings as IMO it´s a far superior Film than CR......IMO

Let the Cash Roll In

Bring It On

[Publius]

If it makes under 500 it means its a disaster. Between 500-700 is ok. 700+ is great

I think under $400 million is disaster, while under $500 million is just trouble.

$785,677,477= Live and Let Die.
$720,388,023= You Only Live Twice.

Where did you get those figures, YOLT? I think they're closer to $100 million less than that.

[Invincible1958]

The dollar is getting stronger and stronger:

€1 = $1,24 at the moment.

When The Dark Knight was released, it was like €1 = $1,50.

So obviously that's bad for Bond. Now all the grosses from Europe will be less in dollars than they would be if the Dollar was as weak as in the summer of 2008.

So even with the same admissions it will be less money. That will make QOS look like a failure.

My bet:

US: $160 million
Rest of the world: $400 million

= $560 million

[YOLT]

If it makes under 500 it means its a disaster. Between 500-700 is ok. 700+ is great

I think under $400 million is disaster, while under $500 million is just trouble.

$785,677,477= Live and Let Die.
$720,388,023= You Only Live Twice.

Where did you get those figures, YOLT? I think they're closer to $100 million less than that.

From wikipedia. I think it's trustable because it has both the adjusted and unadjusted values.

There is noway QOS can bet GF and TB. Grossing YOLT may be great and LALD magnificent

[HellIsHere]

QOS will do tremendous business around the globe.

[dinovelvet]

The first US tracking information gauging public awareness/interest has come in, and at this point, the data for QOS is translating to an opening weekend of "low 50s", i.e. $51-$54 million. This is very good as its still three weeks away from release, so these numbers can only go up, maybe to $60+ as we get closer to the 14th.

[Publius]

The dollar is getting stronger and stronger:

€1 = $1,24 at the moment.

When The Dark Knight was released, it was like €1 = $1,50.

So obviously that's bad for Bond. Now all the grosses from Europe will be less in dollars than they would be if the Dollar was as weak as in the summer of 2008.

So even with the same admissions it will be less money. That will make QOS look like a failure.

Good point, I might have to readjust my overseas prediction. That said, the dollar is so erratic that it could be a completely different scenario by mid-November.

My bet:

US: $160 million
Rest of the world: $400 million

= $560 million

CR made $180 million in 2008 dollars. While I can understand the overseas drop-off (fluctuating exchange rates), why do you think it'll sell over 10% fewer tickets domestically?

[Qwerty]

Now on the CBn main page...

James Bond's Box Office Viewed At Critic And Recession-Proof

'Quantum of Solace' expected to be a mega-success despite varying reviews

[Marquis]

My guess..

$215 US

$435 Rest Of World

$650 Total