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'Quantum of Solace' - Box Office Predictions


110 replies to this topic

#31 Chad Cooper

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Posted 06 April 2008 - 03:14 PM

I think a lot of people will be desappointed... :tup:

#32 Vauxhall

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Posted 06 April 2008 - 03:25 PM

I think a lot of people will be desappointed... :tup:

Why do you say that?

#33 Fro

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Posted 06 April 2008 - 03:25 PM

I think that's pretty much a given if we're measuring in non-adjusted US Dollars. The Dollar has really taken a beating against everything else so the international grosses will seem super huge.

#34 Qwerty

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Posted 07 April 2008 - 02:53 AM

[Moderator's Note: Topics merged]

#35 HH007

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Posted 07 April 2008 - 03:57 AM

quantmu off s0ol,ace will be boMB bigs time becaquse CRAIGg is a buttface!...


:tup:

Seriously though, I think QUANTUM OF SOLACE will do just fine at the Box Office.

#36 blueman

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 01:40 AM

While I think QOS will end up being a slightly better Bond film than CR (whatever that means, but I'll stand by it FWIW :tup: ), I don't think it'll make quite as much as CR did, for the reason I thought CR would so rake it in: the love story. QOS doesn't seem to have that, at least not a classic-styled one like CR captured with Craig and Green. Maybe the more action-driven QOS will surprise me, and surpass CR's take? Nah, love stories trump all, except penguins. :tup:

Thoughts?

#37 Qwerty

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 02:13 AM

[Moderator's Note: Topics merged]

#38 blueman

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 02:14 AM

oops. :tup: Thanks, Q.

#39 Qwerty

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 02:15 AM

Not to worry, blueman.

#40 dodge

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 02:35 AM

I think we're in for some surprises. Smash opening: absolutely. Very respectable b.o. But, this is just a prediction so hold onto your stones, friends: hampered by the title and, I fear, direction of La Forster.

#41 blueman

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 03:33 AM

I think Forster's direction is gonna be the best thing to hit Bond since, well, Craig.

Titles don't mean squat to box office IMHO, not when it comes to films like these (otherwise the Bourne films would've sunk like lead weights).

I think back-end biz will drop off more than CR's did cuz of the comparative lack of romance. But again, Forster definately taps that audience, so who knows.

#42 DaveBond21

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 04:11 AM

I think it's far too early to get an accurate gauge of what this film was earn but I'll take a stab.

Domestically I think it will outgross by CASINO ROYALE but not by much. I'll give it $190 million.

Internationally I see QUANTUM OF SOLACE being just as, if not slightly more, successful as CASINO ROYALE. With a new Harry Potter film being released shortly after, I don't think QUANTUM will do as well in the UK as CASINO did. I'll say that QUANTUM will get $450 million internationally.

I'd propose approximately $640 million worldwide for QUANTUM OF SOLACE. I think at the absolute minimum it will be around $600 million and at the highest pushing $700 million.


I think Quantum of Solace is going to be excellent, and I know I'm going to love it. I believe it will do slightly better at the box office than Casino Royale but that it won't be as critically-lauded as that movie.

#43 dodge

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Posted 22 April 2008 - 07:04 PM

I think it's far too early to get an accurate gauge of what this film was earn but I'll take a stab.

Domestically I think it will outgross by CASINO ROYALE but not by much. I'll give it $190 million.

Internationally I see QUANTUM OF SOLACE being just as, if not slightly more, successful as CASINO ROYALE. With a new Harry Potter film being released shortly after, I don't think QUANTUM will do as well in the UK as CASINO did. I'll say that QUANTUM will get $450 million internationally.

I'd propose approximately $640 million worldwide for QUANTUM OF SOLACE. I think at the absolute minimum it will be around $600 million and at the highest pushing $700 million.


I think Quantum of Solace is going to be excellent, and I know I'm going to love it. I believe it will do slightly better at the box office than Casino Royale but that it won't be as critically-lauded as that movie.


I think you're quite right about that. For box-office purposes, however, the key question is probably 'Is it more enjoyable?' If I'm wrong and Forster's no stick in the mud, then it will make dandy buckos.

#44 dodge

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 02:54 PM

So, the film's been shot. Post-production's begun. And most of you non-virgins are devouring clips, news and buzz. How well--ballpark figures--do you think it will do?

U.S.: more or less than $300 mil?

Worldwide: ????????

#45 DamnCoffee

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 02:58 PM

Just a random guess here:

$674,000,000 (Worldwide)
$354,000,000 (Domestic)

#46 dodge

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 03:33 PM

Just a random guess here:

$674,000,000 (Worldwide)
$354,000,000 (Domestic)


Thanks for daring to jump in. This one's a toughie, isn't it? How do those figures compare with CR's total takes?

#47 doubler83

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 03:42 PM

Casino Royale did the following business (according to BOM)...

Domestic: $167,445,960
Foreign: $426,793,106
Worldwide: $594,239,066

There's no way QoS will make $354,000,000 domestic. I love the franchise too, Mharkin, but I just can't see it doing that kind of money.

My guess would be something similar to CR.

Domestic: $168,000,000
Foreign: $430,000,000
Worldwide: $598,000,000

#48 dodge

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 03:45 PM

Casino Royale did the following business (according to BOM)...

Domestic: $167,445,960
Foreign: $426,793,106
Worldwide: $594,239,066

There's no way QoS will make $354,000,000 domestic. I love the franchise too, Mharkin, but I just can't see it doing that kind of money.

My guess would be something similar to CR.

Domestic: $168,000,000
Foreign: $430,000,000
Worldwide: $598,000,000


Your fearlessness has freed me. I'd actually trembled to post this, but for weeks a figure has been blinking in my brain:

Domestic: $176 mil.

I suspect you're right on the worldwide.

#49 doubler83

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 03:48 PM

Casino Royale did the following business (according to BOM)...

Domestic: $167,445,960
Foreign: $426,793,106
Worldwide: $594,239,066

There's no way QoS will make $354,000,000 domestic. I love the franchise too, Mharkin, but I just can't see it doing that kind of money.

My guess would be something similar to CR.

Domestic: $168,000,000
Foreign: $430,000,000
Worldwide: $598,000,000


Your fearlessness has freed me. I'd actually trembled to post this, but for weeks a figure has been blinking in my brain:

Domestic: $176 mil.

I suspect you're right on the worldwide.


Well, you could be right. People have come to accept Craig as Bond now, so we might see an increase in numbers. Heck, Mharkin might be right and it could do $354 million domestic.

We'll have to wait and see... :tup:

#50 Fro

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 04:34 PM

Foreign numbers will be massive due to the dollar's slide in the last 2 years. They can have a lot bigger foreign gross without actually selling more tickets because the numbers are measured in dollars. A Euro is worth about $1.60 American... a good .30 more than 2006.

Foreign gross will be over 500 million easily.

I'd peg the domestic at around 200 million

Edited by Fro, 29 June 2008 - 04:39 PM.


#51 JackWade

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 04:45 PM

$300 million domestically? What on earth compels you to believe that QUANTUM will do almost twice what CASINO ROYALE did?

A lot of people are looking forward to this movie. People love Craig and they loved CASINO ROYALE. Barring some kind of marketing meltdown, QUANTUM will make big numbers at the box office and improve upon CASINO ROYALE's figures.

Domestic: ~$200 million
Worldwide: ~$475 million
TOTAL: ~$675 million

#52 SPOTTER

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 06:04 PM

I think Domestic figures for QOS will be around the $180 - 200 M mark bearing in mind the inflation since the last last film and the hype that is going to be surrounding it, whilst internationaly I can see the film doing bigger business as well. Let's say around $450 - 500 M mark. A lot of people will be queing to watch QOS. I think the Craig era could have the excitment of the Connery one.

My predictions: Domestic: $180 - 200 M
International: $450 - 500 M
Worldwide: $630 - 700 M

#53 K1Bond007

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 08:50 PM

So, the film's been shot. Post-production's begun. And most of you non-virgins are devouring clips, news and buzz. How well--ballpark figures--do you think it will do?

U.S.: more or less than $300 mil?

Worldwide: ????????


Less than 300. It'll do better than Casino Royale in the US though. I would think the worldwide total will be roughly the same as Royale though.

#54 Emma

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 10:31 PM

$300 million domestically? What on earth compels you to believe that QUANTUM will do almost twice what CASINO ROYALE did?

A lot of people are looking forward to this movie. People love Craig and they loved CASINO ROYALE. Barring some kind of marketing meltdown, QUANTUM will make big numbers at the box office and improve upon CASINO ROYALE's figures.



I completely agree with you on this. I won't post figures. However I am convinced that QoS will do as well as, if not better than CR. Especially given Craig's comments about wanting the film to be 'better' than CR. I have a feeling that EON are not sitting on their laurels for this one.

I also attribute it to what I have heard about the film having more action. Some of the marks against CR, I read were the fact that the poker game was too long.

#55 Jackanaples

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 10:41 PM

I think it will do considerably better box office than CASINO ROYALE. My guess is 25% more both worldwide and domestic.

CR showed everyone that James Bond was an A-list commodity again and THE premiere action movie franchise. QOS (which I expect to be superior to CR in almost every way) is going to cement that.

#56 blueman

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 10:44 PM

Shorter run time should help too. I've been thinking lower than CR's take for some reason, but I'm starting to come around to the $180-$200 domestic mark thinking.

I really think it'll come down to Forster: does he mix all those awesome ingredients and deliver a great, fast-paced action thriller? If so then watch out. He might pull an Apted and find himself sitting on a pile of goo, but somehow I doubt it. CR squared is what I'm expecting; if so then over $200 domestic could happen depending on penguin movies.

#57 Publius

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 11:15 PM

Foreign numbers will be massive due to the dollar's slide in the last 2 years. They can have a lot bigger foreign gross without actually selling more tickets because the numbers are measured in dollars. A Euro is worth about $1.60 American... a good .30 more than 2006.

Foreign gross will be over 500 million easily.

I'd peg the domestic at around 200 million

I agree. The obsession with raw dollar figures overlooks not just inflation, but more importantly the phenomenon that is our collapsing currency. QoS will definitely pass the half-billion mark outside of the US and Canada.

What that means in terms of true profit is anyone's guess, but since this IS Bond we're talking about the only thing these numbers are good for is bragging rights and marketing. It's guaranteed to make mountains of money and justify even more sequels, unlike most other movie franchises which actually have to worry about their very survival with each new film.

Shorter run time should help too. I've been thinking lower than CR's take for some reason, but I'm starting to come around to the $180-$200 domestic mark thinking.

Yeah, I think that'll be a huge boon given that "it's too long" seemed to be the #1 complaint about CR. If nothing else, it'll have more showings. Ultimately, that's why the penguins "beat" Bond last time.

And it can't be overstated how important the final product's quality is to its overall commercial success. Hype, which is all we have at the moment (as opposed to CR, where by now we had trailers, script leaks, and--oh yeah--the novel it's based on), will mostly tell us how strongly it opens.

With that said, I'll predict it makes $60 million opening weekend (US & Canada). I realize that's a highball, but I feel like living on the edge. Total, it'll probably finish just a little better than CR, plus inflation. Factor in the rest of the world, however, and I think it'll be even more impressive.

#58 Qwerty

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 11:21 PM

[Moderator's Note: Topics merged]

#59 jaguar007

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 11:33 PM

I think QoS will certainly have a bigger opening than CR and gross more, especially in the US. I think CR was met with more apprention in the US due to Craig, but most of us yanks now like Craig and it will be bigger.

#60 dodge

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Posted 29 June 2008 - 11:55 PM

Glad to see my thread got merged with the original, of which I was unaware. But didn't there used to be some sort of notice when this happened?